Multiparametric MRI subregion radiomics for preoperative assessment of high-risk subregions in microsatellite instability of rectal cancer patients: A multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Microsatellite instability (MSI) is associated with treatment response and prognosis in patients with rectal cancer (RC). However, intratumoral heterogeneity limits MSI testing in patients with RC. We developed a subregion radiomics model based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to preoperatively assess high-risk subregions with MSI and predict the MSI status of patients with RC. METHODS: This retrospective study included 475 patients (training cohort, 382; external test cohort, 93) with RC from two participating hospitals between April 2017 and June 2023. In the training cohort, subregion radiomic features were extracted from multiparametric MRI, which included T2-weighted, T1-weighted, diffusion-weighted, and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging. MSI-related subregion radiomic features, classical radiomic features, and clinicoradiological variables were gathered to build five predictive models using logistic regression. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was conducted to explore the prognostic information. RESULTS: Among the 475 patients (median age, 64 years [interquartile range, IQR: 55-70 years];304 men and 171 women), the prevalence of MSI was 11.16% (53/475). The subregion radiomics model outperformed the classical radiomics and clinicoradiological models in both training (area under the curve [AUC]=0.86, 0.72, and 0.59, respectively) and external test cohorts (AUC=0.83, 0.73, and 0.62, respectively). The subregion-clinicoradiological model combining clinicoradiological variables and subregion radiomic features performed the optimal, with AUCs of 0.87 and 0.85 in the training and external test cohorts, respectively. The 3-year disease-free survival rate of MSI groups predicted based on the model was higher than that of the predicted microsatellite stability (MSS) groups in both patient cohorts (training, P=0.032; external test, P=0.046). CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a model based on subregion radiomic features of multiparametric MRI to evaluate high-risk subregions with MSI and predict the MSI status of RC preoperatively, which may assist in individualized treatment decisions and positioning for biopsy.

Noninvasive prediction of perineural invasion in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma by clinicoradiological features and computed tomography radiomics based on interpretable machine learning: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Perineural invasion (PNI) of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a strong independent risk factor for tumour recurrence and long-term patient survival. However, there is a lack of noninvasive tools for accurately predicting the PNI status. The authors develop and validate a combined model incorporating radiomics signature and clinicoradiological features based on machine learning for predicting PNI in ICC, and used the Shapley Additive explanation (SHAP) to visualize the prediction process for clinical application. METHODS: This retrospective and prospective study included 243 patients with pathologically diagnosed ICC (training, n =136; external validation, n =81; prospective, n =26, respectively) who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography between January 2012 and May 2023 at three institutions (three tertiary referral centres in Guangdong Province, China). The ElasticNet was applied to select radiomics features and construct signature derived from computed tomography images, and univariate and multivariate analyses by logistic regression were used to identify the significant clinical and radiological variables with PNI. A robust combined model incorporating radiomics signature and clinicoradiological features based on machine learning was developed and the SHAP was used to visualize the prediction process. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to compare prognostic differences between PNI-positive and PNI-negative groups and was conducted to explore the prognostic information of the combined model. RESULTS: Among 243 patients (mean age, 61.2 years ± 11.0 (SD); 152 men and 91 women), 108 (44.4%) were diagnosed as PNI-positive. The radiomics signature was constructed by seven radiomics features, with areas under the curves of 0.792, 0.748, and 0.729 in the training, external validation, and prospective cohorts, respectively. Three significant clinicoradiological features were selected and combined with radiomics signature to construct a combined model using machine learning. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting exhibited improved accuracy and robustness (areas under the curves of 0.884, 0.831, and 0.831, respectively). Survival analysis showed the construction combined model could be used to stratify relapse-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.933; 95% CI: 1.093-3.418; P =0.021). CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a robust combined model incorporating radiomics signature and clinicoradiological features based on machine learning to accurately identify the PNI statuses of ICC, and visualize the prediction process through SHAP for clinical application.

Image quality and evaluation ability of magnetic resonance imaging techniques for thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy: Dixon fat-suppression technique vs. spectral attenuated inversion recovery.

Purpose: We aimed to compare two magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) techniques, Dixon and spectral attenuated inversion recovery (SPAIR) fat-suppression, in terms of image quality and suitability for evaluating thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy (TAO) lesion characteristics. Methods: This cross-sectional, retrospective study involved 70 patients with TAO (140 eyes) who underwent orbital coronal MRI examinations, including Dixon-transverse relaxation (T2)-weighted imaging (T2WI) and SPAIR-T2WI, between 2020 and 2022. We compared the fat-suppression quality and artifacts, noise (N), signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), contrast-to-noise ratio (CNR), signal intensity ratio (SIR) of extraocular muscles (SIR-EOM) and lacrimal glands (SIR-LG), and TAO activity evaluation efficiency. Results: Dixon-T2WI showed a higher frequency of better subjective image quality and suitability for evaluating the characteristics of TAO lesions (65.7% vs. 14.3%) than SPAIR-T2WI. Fat-suppression quality and artifact scores were lower for Dixon-T2WI than for SPAIR-T2WI (p < 0.001). The N, SNR, and CNR values, EOM-SIR, and LG-SIR were higher for orbital coronal Dixon-T2WI than for SPAIR-T2WI (all p < 0.001). Clinical activity scores (CASs) showed positive correlations with SIR. The correlation between EOM-SIR and LG-SIR of orbital coronal Dixon-T2WI with CAS was higher than that of SPAIR-T2WI (0.590 vs. 0.493, all p < 0.001; 0.340 vs. 0.295, all p < 0.01). EOM-SIR and LG-SIR of Dixon-T2WI yielded a higher area under the curve than SPAIR-T2WI for evaluating TAO activity (0.865 vs. 0.760, p < 0.001; 0.695 vs. 0.617, p = 0.017). Conclusion: Dixon-T2WI yields higher image quality than SPAIR-T2WI. Furthermore, it has a stronger ability to evaluate TAO inflammation than SPAIR, with higher sensitivity and specificity in active TAO staging.

The added value of apparent diffusion coefficient and microcalcifications to the Kaiser score in the evaluation of BI-RADS 4 lesions.

PURPOSE: To explore the added value of combining microcalcifications or apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) with the Kaiser score (KS) for diagnosing BI-RADS 4 lesions. METHODS: This retrospective study included 194 consecutive patients with 201 histologically verified BI-RADS 4 lesions. Two radiologists assigned the KS value to each lesion. Adding microcalcifications, ADC, or both these criteria to the KS yielded KS1, KS2, and KS3, respectively. The potential of all four scores to avoid unnecessary biopsies was assessed using the sensitivity and specificity. Diagnostic performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) and compared between KS and KS1. RESULTS: The sensitivity of KS, KS1, KS2, and KS3 ranged from 77.1% to 100.0%.KS1 yielded significantly higher sensitivity than other methods (P < 0.05), except for KS3 (P > 0.05), most of all, when assessing NME lesions. For mass lesions, the sensitivity of these four scores was comparable (p > 0.05). The specificity of KS, KS1, KS2, and KS3 ranged from 56.0% to 69.4%, with no statistically significant differences(P > 0.05), except between KS1 and KS2 (p < 0.05).The AUC of KS1 (0.877) was significantly higher than that of KS (0.837; P = 0.0005), particularly for assessing NME (0.847 vs 0.713; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: KS can stratify BI-RADS 4 lesions to avoid unnecessary biopsies. Adding microcalcifications, but not adding ADC, as an adjunct to KS improves diagnostic performance, particularly for NME lesions. ADC provides no additional diagnostic benefit to KS. Thus, only combining microcalcifications with KS is most conducive to clinical practice.

Development and validation of a clinical predictive model for 1-year prognosis in coronary heart disease patients combine with acute heart failure.

Background: The risk factors for acute heart failure (AHF) vary, reducing the accuracy and convenience of AHF prediction. The most common causes of AHF are coronary heart disease (CHD). A short-term clinical predictive model is needed to predict the outcome of AHF, which can help guide early therapeutic intervention. This study aimed to develop a clinical predictive model for 1-year prognosis in CHD patients combined with AHF. Materials and methods: A retrospective analysis was performed on data of 692 patients CHD combined with AHF admitted between January 2020 and December 2020 at a single center. After systemic treatment, patients were discharged and followed up for 1-year for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The clinical characteristics of all patients were collected. Patients were randomly divided into the training (n = 484) and validation cohort (n = 208). Step-wise regression using the Akaike information criterion was performed to select predictors associated with 1-year MACE prognosis. A clinical predictive model was constructed based on the selected predictors. The predictive performance and discriminative ability of the predictive model were determined using the area under the curve, calibration curve, and clinical usefulness. Results: On step-wise regression analysis of the training cohort, predictors for MACE of CHD patients combined with AHF were diabetes, NYHA ≥ 3, HF history, Hcy, Lp-PLA2, and NT-proBNP, which were incorporated into the predictive model. The AUC of the predictive model was 0.847 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.811-0.882] in the training cohort and 0.839 (95% CI: 0.780-0.893) in the validation cohort. The calibration curve indicated good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation. Decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram was clinically useful. Conclusion: The proposed clinical prediction model we have established is effective, which can accurately predict the occurrence of early MACE in CHD patients combined with AHF.

Nomogram development and validation to predict Ki-67 expression of hepatocellular carcinoma derived from Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI combined with T1 mapping.

Objective: As an important biomarker to reflect tumor cell proliferation and tumor aggressiveness, Ki-67 is closely related to the high early recurrence rate and poor prognosis, and pretreatment evaluation of Ki-67 expression possibly provides a more accurate prognosis assessment and more better treatment plan. We aimed to develop a nomogram based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) combined with T1 mapping to predict Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: This two-center study retrospectively enrolled 148 consecutive patients who underwent preoperative Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI T1 mapping and surgically confirmed HCC from July 2019 to December 2020. The correlation between quantitative parameters from T1 mapping, ADC, and Ki-67 was explored. Three cohorts were constructed: a training cohort (n = 73) and an internal validation cohort (n = 31) from Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University, and an external validation cohort (n = 44) from the Sixth Affiliated Hospital, South China University of Technology. The clinical variables and MRI qualitative and quantitative parameters associational with Ki-67 expression were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. A nomogram was developed based on these associated with Ki-67 expression in the training cohort and validated in the internal and external validation cohorts. Results: T1rt-Pre and T1rt-20min were strongly positively correlated with Ki-67 (r = 0.627, r = 0.607, P < 0.001); the apparent diffusion coefficient value was moderately negatively correlated with Ki-67 (r = -0.401, P < 0.001). Predictors of Ki-67 expression included in the nomogram were peritumoral enhancement, peritumoral hypointensity, T1rt-20min, and tumor margin, while arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) was not a significant predictor even included in the regression model. The nomograms achieved good concordance indices in predicting Ki-67 expression in the training and two validation cohorts (0.919, 0.925, 0.850), respectively. Conclusions: T1rt-Pre and T1rt-20min had a strong positive correlation with the Ki-67 expression in HCC, and Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI combined with T1 mapping-based nomogram effectively predicts high Ki-67 expression in HCC.

Predictive Value of Non-high-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio for Coronary Artery Vulnerable Plaques in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

Background: Patients with diabetes have an increased risk of developing vulnerable plaques (VPs), in which dyslipidemia and chronic inflammation play important roles. Non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have emerged as potential markers of both coronary artery VPs and cardiovascular prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of non-HDL-C and NLR for coronary artery VPs in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 204 patients with T2DM who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography between January 2018 and June 2020. Clinical data including age, sex, hypertension, smoking, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, HDL-C, triglyceride, non-HDL-C, glycated hemoglobin, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, NLR, and platelet count were analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the association between non-HDL-C, NLR, and coronary artery VPs. Receiver operating curve analysis was performed to evaluate the value of non-HDL-C, NLR, and their combination in predicting coronary artery VPs. Results: In our study, 67 patients (32.84%) were diagnosed with VPs, 75 (36.77%) with non-VP, and 62 (30.39%) with no plaque. Non-HDL-C and NLR were independent risk factors for coronary artery VPs in patients with T2DM. The areas under the ROC curve of non-HDL-C, NLR, and their combination were 0.748 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.676-0.818], 0.729 (95% CI: 0.650-0.800), and 0.825 (95% CI: 0.757-0.887), respectively. Conclusion: Either non-HDL-C or NLR could be used as a predictor of coronary artery VPs in patients with T2DM, but the predictive efficiency and sensitivity of their combination would be better.

Intravoxel Incoherent Motion Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Prediction of Induction Chemotherapy Response in Locally Advanced Hypopharyngeal Carcinoma: Comparison With Model-Free Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging.

BACKGROUND: Multiparametric intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) provides diffusion and perfusion information for the treatment prediction of cancer. However, the superiority of IVIM over dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma (LAHC) remains unclear. PURPOSE: To compare the diagnostic performance of IVIM and model-free DCE in assessing induction chemotherapy (IC) response in patients with LAHC. STUDY TYPE: Prospective. POPULATION: Forty-two patients with LAHC. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3.0 T MRI, including IVIM (12 b values, 0-800 seconds/mm2 ) with a single-shot echo planar imaging sequence and DCE-MRI with a volumetric interpolated breath-hold examination sequence. IVIM MRI is a commercially available sequence and software for calculation and analysis from vendor. ASSESSMENT: The IVIM-derived parameters (diffusion coefficient [D], pseudodiffusion coefficient [D*], and perfusion fraction [f]) and DCE-derived model-free parameters (Wash-in, time to maximum enhancement [Tmax], maximum enhancement [Emax], area under enhancement curve [AUC] over 60 seconds [AUC60 ], and whole area under enhancement curve [AUCw ]) were measured. At the end of IC, patients with complete or partial response were classified as responders according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. STATISTICAL TESTS: The differences of parameters between responders and nonresponders were assessed using Mann-Whitney U tests. The performance of parameters for predicting IC response was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: Twenty-three (54.8%) patients were classified as responders. Compared with nonresponders, the perfusion parameters D*, f, f × D*, and AUCw were significantly higher whereas Wash-in was lower in responders (all P-values <0.05). The f × D* outperformed other parameters, with an AUC of 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.93), sensitivity of 79.0% (95% CI: 54.4-93.9), and specificity of 82.6% (95% CI: 61.2-95.0). DATA CONCLUSION: The IVIM MRI technique may noninvasively help predict the IC response before treatment in patients with LAHC. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 2 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

A Nomogram for Pretreatment Prediction of Response to Induction Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Hypopharyngeal Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Induction chemotherapy (IC) significantly improves the rate of larynx preservation; however, some patients could not benefit from it. Hence, it is of clinical importance to predict the response to IC to determine the necessity of IC. We aimed to develop a clinical nomogram for predicting the treatment response to IC in locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma. METHODS: We retrospectively include a total of 127 patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma who underwent MRI scans prior to IC between January 2014 and December 2017. The clinical characteristics were collected, which included age, sex, tumor location, invading sites, histological grades, T-stage, N-stage, overall stage, size of the largest lymph node, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, hemoglobin concentration, and platelet count. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to select the significant predictors of IC response. A nomogram was built based on the results of stepwise logistic regression analysis. The predictive performance and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were determined based on the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve. RESULTS: Age, T-stage, hemoglobin, and platelet were four independent predictors of IC treatment response, which were incorporated into the nomogram. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.860 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.780-0.940), which was validated using 3-fold cross-validation (AUC, 0.864; 95% CI: 0.755-0.973). The calibration curve demonstrated good consistency between the prediction by the nomogram and actual observation. Decision curve analysis shows that the nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSION: The proposed nomogram resulted in an accurate prediction of the efficacy of IC for patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal carcinoma.

Prognostic value of the radiomics-based model in progression-free survival of hypopharyngeal cancer treated with chemoradiation.

PURPOSE: To develop a radiomics-based model to stratify the risk of early progression (local/regional recurrence or metastasis) among patients with hypopharyngeal cancer undergoing chemoradiotherapy and modify their pretreatment plans. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We randomly assigned 113 patients into two cohorts: training (n = 80) and validation (n = 33). The radiomic significant features were selected in the training cohort using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and Akaike information criterion methods, and they were used to build the radiomic model. The concordance index (C-index) was applied to evaluate the model's prognostic performance. A Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test were used to assess risk stratification ability of models in predicting progression. A nomogram was plotted to predict individual risk of progression. RESULTS: Composed of four significant features, the radiomic model showed good performance in stratifying patients into high- and low-risk groups of progression in both the training and validation cohorts (log-rank test, p = 0.00016, p = 0.0063, respectively). Peripheral invasion and metastasis were selected as significant clinical variables. The combined radiomic-clinical model showed good discriminative performance, with C-indices 0.804 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.688-0.920) and 0.756 (95% CI, 0.605-0.907) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The median progression-free survival (PFS) in the high-risk group was significantly shorter than that in the low-risk group in the training (median PFS, 9.5 m and 19.0 m, respectively; p [log-rank] < 0.0001) and validation (median PFS, 11.3 m and 22.5 m, respectively; p [log-rank] = 0.0063) cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: A radiomics-based model was established to predict the risk of progression in hypopharyngeal cancer with chemoradiotherapy. KEY POINTS: • Clinical information showed limited performance in stratifying the risk of progression among patients with hypopharyngeal cancer. • Imaging features extracted from CECT and NCCT images were independent predictors of PFS. • We combined significant features and valuable clinical variables to establish a nomogram to predict individual risk of progression.

Comparison between linear and nonlinear machine-learning algorithms for the classification of thyroid nodules.

BACKGROUND: A key challenge in thyroid carcinoma is preoperatively diagnosing malignant thyroid nodules. The purpose of this study was to compare the classification performance of linear and nonlinear machine-learning algorithms for the evaluation of thyroid nodules using pathological reports as reference standard. METHODS: Ethical approval was obtained for this retrospective analysis, and the informed consent requirement was waived. A total of 1179 thyroid nodules (training cohort, n = 700; validation cohort, n = 479) were confirmed by pathological reports or fine-needle aspiration (FNA) biopsy. The following ultrasonography (US) featu res were measured for each nodule: size (maximum diameter), margins, shape, aspect ratio, capsule, hypoechoic halo, composition, echogenicity, calcification pattern, vascularity, and cervical lymph node status. We analyzed five nonlinear and three linear machine-learning algorithms. The diagnostic performance of each algorithm was compared by using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve. We repeated this process 1000 times to obtain the mean AUC and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Overall, nonlinear machine-learning algorithms demonstrated similar AUCs compared with linear algorithms. The Random Forest and Kernel Support Vector Machines algorithms achieved slightly greater AUCs in the validation cohort (0.954, 95% CI: 0.939-0.969; 0.954 95%CI: 0.939-0.969, respectively) than other algorithms. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, nonlinear machine-learning algorithms share similar performance compared with linear algorithms for the evaluation the malignancy risk of thyroid nodules.

A nomogram for individual prediction of vascular invasion in primary breast cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the feasibility of preoperative prediction of vascular invasion (VI) in breast cancer patients using nomogram based on multiparametric MRI and pathological reports. METHODS: We retrospectively collected 200 patients with confirmed breast cancer between January 2016 and January 2018. All patients underwent MRI examinations before the surgery. VI was identified by postoperative pathology. The 200 patients were randomly divided into training (n = 100) and validation datasets (n = 100) at a ratio of 1:1. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to select predictors most associated with VI of breast cancer. A nomogram was constructed to calculate the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive prediction value (PPV) and negative prediction value (NPV). We bootstrapped the data for 2000 times without setting the random seed to obtain corrected results. RESULTS: VI was observed in 79 patients (39.5%). LASSO selected 10 predictors associated with VI. In the training dataset, the AUC for nomogram was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.89-0.99, the sensitivity was 78.9% (95%CI: 72.4%-89.1%), the specificity was 95.3% (95%CI: 89.1%-100.0%), the accuracy was 86.0% (95%CI: 82.0%-92.0%), the PPV was 95.7% (95%CI: 90.0%-100.0%), and the NPV was 77.4% (95%CI: 67.8%-87.0%). In the validation dataset, the AUC for nomogram was 0.89 (95%CI: 0.83-0.95), the sensitivity was 70.3% (95%CI: 60.7%-79.2%), the specificity was 88.9% (95%CI: 80.0%-97.1%), the accuracy was 77.0% (95%CI: 70.0%-83.0%), the PPV was 91.8% (95%CI: 85.3%-98.0%), and the NPV was 62.7% (95%CI: 51.7%-74.0%). The nomogram calibration curve shows good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. CONCLUSION: The proposed nomogram could be used to predict VI in breast cancer patients, which was helpful for clinical decision-making.

Development and validation of a magnetic resonance imaging-based model for the prediction of distant metastasis before initial treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to identify a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based model for assessment of the risk of individual distant metastasis (DM) before initial treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: This retrospective cohort analysis included 176 patients with NPC. Using the PyRadiomics platform, we extracted the imaging features of primary tumors in all patients who did not exhibit DM before treatment. Subsequently, we used minimum redundancy-maximum relevance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithms to select the strongest features and build a logistic model for DM prediction. The independent statistical significance of multiple clinical variables was tested using multivariate logistic regression analysis. FINDINGS: In total, 2780 radiomic features were extracted. A DM MRI-based model (DMMM) comprising seven features was constructed for the classification of patients into high- and low-risk groups in a training cohort and validated in an independent cohort. Overall survival was significantly shorter in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (P < 0·001). A radiomics nomogram based on radiomic features and clinical variables was developed for DM risk assessment in each patient, and it showed a significant predictive ability in the training [area under the curve (AUC), 0·827; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.754-0.900] and validation (AUC, 0.792; 95% CI, 0.633-0.952) cohorts. INTERPRETATION: DMMM can serve as a visual prognostic tool for DM prediction in NPC, and it can improve treatment decisions by aiding in the differentiation of patients with high and low risks of DM. FUND: This research received financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81571664, 81871323, 81801665, 81771924, 81501616, 81671851, and 81527805); the National Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (2018B030311024); the Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province (2016A020216020); the Scientific Research General Project of Guangzhou Science Technology and Innovation Commission (201707010328); the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2016M600145); and the National Key R&D Program of China (2017YFA0205200, 2017YFC1308700, and 2017YFC1309100).

Development and validation of an ultrasound-based nomogram to improve the diagnostic accuracy for malignant thyroid nodules.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to develop an ultrasound-based nomogram to improve the diagnostic accuracy of the identification of malignant thyroid nodules. METHODS: A total of 1675 histologically proven thyroid nodules (1169 benign, 506 malignant) were included in this study. The nodules were grouped into the training dataset (n = 700), internal validation dataset (n = 479), or external validation dataset (n = 496). The grayscale ultrasound features included the nodule size, shape, aspect ratio, echogenicity, margins, and calcification pattern. We applied least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) regression to select the strongest features for the nomogram. Nomogram discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC) and calibration were assessed. The nomogram was subjected to bootstrapping validation (1000 bootstrap resamples) to calculate a mean AUC and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: The nomogram showed good discrimination in the training dataset, with an AUC of 0.936 (95% CI: 0.918-0.953) and good calibration. Application of the nomogram to the internal validation dataset also resulted in good discrimination (AUC: 0.935; 95% CI, 0.915-0.954) and good calibration. The model tested in an external validation dataset demonstrated a lower AUC of 0.782 (95% CI: 0.776-0.789). CONCLUSIONS: This ultrasound-based nomogram can be used to quantify the probability of malignant thyroid nodules. KEY POINTS: • Ultrasound examination is helpful in the differential diagnosis of malignant and benign thyroid nodules. • However, ultrasound accuracy relies heavily on examiner experience. • A less subjective diagnostic model is desired, and the developed nomogram for thyroid nodules showed good discrimination and good calibration.

Extrinsic warming of low-osmolality iodinated contrast media to 37°C reduced the rate of allergic-like reaction.

Background: Although there is good evidence that warming of contrast media changes the bolus kinetics and injection pressure of iodinated contrast media, there has been little evidence that it affects clinical adverse event rates in a meaningful way. Objective: To determine whether the extrinsic warming of low-osmolality iodinated contrast media to 37°C reduced adverse reactions. Methods: Data on adverse reactions were collected from two cohorts, one of which used contrast media at room temperature and the other in which contrast media were warmed to 37°C before administration. Adverse reactions, including allergic-like and physiological reactions, were reviewed. We compared the incidence rates of adverse reactions between the two cohorts by using the χ2 test. Results: A total of 70,446 injections in cohort 1 and 203,873 injections in cohort 2 were included. Extrinsic warming reduced the rate of allergic-like reactions to iopromide 370, iopamidol 370, and iohexol 350 (0.32% in cohort 1 versus 0.21% in cohort 2, p = 0.003; 0.14% versus 0.10%, p = 0.046; and 0.32% versus 0.13%, p = .003, respectively). However, the physiological reaction rates could not be reduced (p = 0.057, p = 0.107, and p = 0.962, respectively). The extrinsic warming of iopromide 300 could not reduce adverse reaction rates (allergic-like reaction rates: 0.21% versus 0.16%, p = 0.407; physiological reaction rates: 0.17% versus 0.13%, p = 0.504). Conclusion: Extrinsic warming to 37°C before intravenous administration was associated with a reduction in the rate of allergic-like reactions to iopromide 370, iopamidol 370, and iohexol 350.

Application of noninvasive functional imaging to monitor the progressive changes in kidney diffusion and perfusion in contrast-induced acute kidney injury rats at 3.0 T.

OBJECTIVES: Contrast-induced acute kidney injury is a prevalent cause of renal failure, and the noninvasive tools to monitor its progress are lacking. We applied intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) DWI to measure the progressive changes in kidney diffusion and perfusion of CI-AKI. METHODS: Twenty-four rats received Iopromide (370 mg/ml, 1600 mg iodine/kg) to induce CI-AKI. IVIM DWI was performed on rats (n = 6) at 24 h prior to and 12, 24, 48, 72, and 96 h after the injection using a 3.0 T MRI scanner. The progressive changes in the diffusion (D) and perfusion parameters (D* and f) were studied in the cortex (CO), outer medulla (OM), and inner medulla (IM). For the histology group (n = 18), three rats were sacrificed at each time point. RESULTS: In the CO, D reduced progressively from 24 to 48 h (P < 0.001) and increased starting from 72 h (P < 0.001). However, D decreased until to 72 h in the medulla (P < 0.001) and increased starting from 96 h (P < 0.001). D* decreased to the bottom at 24 h in the cortex and medulla (P = 0.037) and started to recover at 48 h (P = 0.007). f decreased in the cortex and medulla in an early stage (12 h) (P = 0.035) of CI-AKI and then ascended in the later stage (72 h) (P = 0.017). The H & E staining showed different degrees of serial pathological change including cloudy swelling, atrophy, even necrosis, and interstitial vasodilation of tubule epithelial cells and glomerulus cells. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates the feasibility of using IVIM DWI to monitor the progress of CI-AKI, implying that IVIM DWI is a useful biomarker in the staging of CI-AKI.

Exploration and validation of radiomics signature as an independent prognostic biomarker in stage III-IVb nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

There is no consensus on specific prognostic biomarkers potentially improving survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), especially in advanced-stage disease. The prognostic value of MRI-based radiomics signature is unclear. A total of 970 quantitative features were extracted from the tumor of 100 untreated NPC patients (stage III-IVb) (discovery set: n = 70, validation set: n = 30). We then applied least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) regression to select features that were most associated with progression-free survival (PFS). Candidate prognostic biomarkers included age, gender, overall stage, hemoglobin, platelet counts and radiomics signature. We developed model 1 (without radiomics signature) and model 2 (with radiomics signature) in the discovery set and then tested in the validation set. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to yield hazard ratio (HR) of each potential biomarker. We found the radiomics signature stratified patients in the discovery set into a low or high risk group for PFS (HR = 5.14, p < 0.001) and was successfully validated for patients in the validation set (HR = 7.28, p = 0.015). However, the other risk factors showed no significantly prognostic value (all p-values for HR, > 0.05). Accordingly, pretreatment MRI-based radiomics signature is a non-invasive and cost-effective prognostic biomarker in advanced NPC patients, which would improve decision-support in cancer care.

Development of a preprocedure nomogram for predicting contrast-induced acute kidney injury after coronary angiography or percutaneous coronary intervention.

Most of the risk models for predicting contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) are available for postcontrast exposure prediction, thus have limited values in practice. We aimed to develop a novel nomogram based on preprocedural features for early prediction of CI-AKI in patients after coronary angiography (CAG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). A total of 245 patients were retrospectively reviewed from January 2015 to January 2017. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression model was applied to select most strong predictors for CI-AKI. The CI-AKI risk score was calculated for each patient as a linear combination of selected predictors that were weighted by their respective coefficients. The discrimination of nomogram was assessed by C-statistic. The occurrence of CI-AKI was 13.9% (34 out of 245). We identified ten predictors including sex, diabetes mellitus, lactate dehydrogenase level, C-reactive protein, years since drinking, chronic kidney disease (CKD), stage of CKD, stroke, acute myocardial infarction, and systolic blood pressure. The CI-AKI prediction nomogram obtained good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.718, 95%CI: 0.637-0.800, p = 7.23 × 10-5). The cutoff value of CI-AKI risk score was -1.953. Accordingly, the novel nomogram we developed is a simple and accurate tool for preprocedural prediction of CI-AKI in patients undergoing CAG or PCI.

Advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: pre-treatment prediction of progression based on multi-parametric MRI radiomics.

We aimed to investigate the potential of radiomic features of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to predict progression in patients with advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). One hundred and thirteen consecutive patients (01/2007-07/2013) (training cohort: n = 80; validation cohort: n = 33) with advanced NPC were enrolled. A total of 970 initial features were extracted from T2-weighted (T2-w) (n = 485) and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CET1-w) MRI (n = 485) for each patient. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) method to select features that were most significantly associated with the progression. The selected features were used to construct radiomics-based models and the predictive performance of which were assessed with respect to the area under the curve (AUC). As a result, eight features significantly associated with the progression of advanced NPC were identified. In the training cohort, a radiomic model based on combined CET1-w and T2-w images (AUC: 0.886, 95%CI: 0.815-0.956) demonstrated better prognostic performance than models based on CET1-w (AUC: 0.793, 95%CI: 0.698-0.889) or T2-w images alone (AUC: 0.813, 95%CI: 0.721-0.904). These results were confirmed in the validation cohort. Accordingly, MRI-based radiomic biomarkers present high accuracy in the pre-treatment prediction of progression in advanced NPC.

Machine Learning Algorithms for Risk Prediction of Severe Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease in Children.

The identification of indicators for severe HFMD is critical for early prevention and control of the disease. With this goal in mind, 185 severe and 345 mild HFMD cases were assessed. Patient demographics, clinical features, MRI findings, and laboratory test results were collected. Gradient boosting tree (GBT) was then used to determine the relative importance (RI) and interaction effects of the variables. Results indicated that elevated white blood cell (WBC) count > 15 × 109/L (RI: 49.47, p < 0.001) was the top predictor of severe HFMD, followed by spinal cord involvement (RI: 26.62, p < 0.001), spinal nerve roots involvement (RI: 10.34, p < 0.001), hyperglycemia (RI: 3.40, p < 0.001), and brain or spinal meninges involvement (RI: 2.45, p = 0.003). Interactions between elevated WBC count and hyperglycemia (H statistic: 0.231, 95% CI: 0-0.262, p = 0.031), between spinal cord involvement and duration of fever ≥3 days (H statistic: 0.291, 95% CI: 0.035-0.326, p = 0.035), and between brainstem involvement and body temperature (H statistic: 0.313, 95% CI: 0-0.273, p = 0.017) were observed. Therefore, GBT is capable to identify the predictors for severe HFMD and their interaction effects, outperforming conventional regression methods.